Friday, May 29, 2009

Median Single-Family Home Prices In Ounces of Gold

This chart courtesy of chartoftheday.com shows the median single-family home selling price divided by the price of gold.

Chartoftheday says:
This results in the home / gold ratio or the cost of the median single-family home in ounces of gold. For example, it currently takes 192 ounces of gold to buy the median single-family home. This is considerably less that the 601 ounces it took back in 2001. When priced in gold, the median single-family home is down 68% from its 2001 peak and remains within the confines of its four-year accelerated downtrend.

Saturday, May 23, 2009

BankUnited Flatlines, Collects $4.9 Billion

Thursday, May 21st, BankUnited of Coral Gables, FL was closed by the Office of Thrift Supervision and the FDIC was named as receiver. The FDIC immediately flipped the bank over to a group of investors led by John Kanas who have formed a new savings bank named "BankUnited". Deposits were approximately $8.6 billion in 85 branches. The FDIC has agreed to kick in an estimated $4.9 billion, or 57 cents on the dollar. The new investors will recapitalize the bank with an additional $900 million. BankUnited's demise was expected as number 56 on my list. The FDIC was ready. They issued a death certificate, paid out the insurance, attached a new head and revived the patient swiftly and cleanly. Customers won't even have to get new checks.

Friday, two banks in Illinois closed. The first, Strategic Capital Bank with one office in Champaign was number 28 on my list. Strategic Capital had deposits of $471 million which will be taken over by Midland States Bank of Effingham, IL. The cost to the FDIC insurance fund is estimated at $173 million or 37 cents on the dollar.

The second Illinois bank was Citizens National Bank in Macomb. Deposits were approximately $200 million in local accounts and $200 million in brokered deposits. Local accounts were transferred to Morton Community Bank and the cost to the FDIC insurance fund will be approximately $106 million or 26 cents on the dollar. Citizens had eight banking offices in Illinois.

After striking two from my list, I am adding one more. The one I'm adding to the list is Butler Bank of Lowell, MA. In the past year, the bank's non-performing loans have quintupled to $51.5 million while their equity capital has been halved to $12.2 million.

Here's my current list of the 50 64 Banks Most Likely to Close in 2009.

1 Magnet Bank, Salt Lake City, UT
2 Citizens Community Bank, Ridgewood, NJ
3 FirstBank Financial Services, McDonough, GA
4 Westsound Bank, Bremerton, WA
5 Suburban Federal Savings Bank, Crofton, MD
6 America West Bank, Layton, UT
7 Silver Falls Bank, Silverton, OR
8 Ocala National Bank, Ocala, FL
9 Sun Security Bank, Ellington, MO
10 Eastern Savings Bank, FSB, Hunt Valley, MD
11 Alliance Bank, Culver City, CA
12 FirstCity Bank, Stockbridge, GA
13 Chestatee State Bank, Dawsonville, GA
14 First Security National Bank, Norcross, GA
15 Ocean Bank, Miami, FL
16 Family Bank and Trust Co., Palos Hills, IL
17 Southern Community Bank, Fayetteville, GA
18 BankCherokee, Saint Paul, MN
19 First Tuskegee Bank, Tuskegee, AL
20 Federal Trust Bank, Sanford, FL
21 Pinnacle Bank, Beaverton, OR
22 Lake Country Community Bank, Morristown, MN
23 Mesa Bank, Mesa, AZ
24 Bank of Wyoming, Thermopolis, WY
25 1st American State Bank of Minnesota, Hancock, MN
26 First State Bank of Altus, Altus, OK
27 EvaBank, Eva, AL
28 Strategic Capital Bank, Champaign, IL
29 Ebank, Atlanta, GA
30 Polk County Bank, Johnston, IA
31 Parkway Bank, Rogers, AR
32 Security Bank of Gwinnett County, Suwanee, GA
33 State Bank of Park Rapids, Park Rapids, MN
34 Herrin Security Bank, Herrin, IL
35 Omni National Bank, Atlanta, GA
36 Northpointe Bank, Grand Rapids, MI
37 Towne Bank of Arizona, Mesa, AZ
38 Timberland Bank, El Dorado, AR
39 Blue Ridge Savings Bank, Inc., Asheville, NC
40 First Piedmont Bank, Winder, GA
41 Select Bank, Grand Rapids, MI
42 Oxford Bank, Oxford, MI
43 Security Bank of North Metro, Woodstock, GA
44 MetroPacific Bank, Irvine, CA
45 Earthstar Bank, Southampton, PA
46 Neighborhood Community Bank, Newnan, GA
47 The Home Savings and Loan Company, Youngstown, OH
48 Heritage Community Bank, Glenwood, IL
49 Vineyard Bank, NA, Rancho Cucamonga, CA
50 Community Bank of Lemont, Lemont, IL
51 Mainstreet Bank, Forest Lake, MN
52 Mutual Bank, Harvey, IL
53 Freedom Bank of Georgia, Commerce, GA
54 Newton County Loan & Savings FSB, Goodland, IN
55 Riverside Bank, Cape Coral, FL
56 BankUnited, Coral Gables, FL
57 American Sterling Bank, Sugar Creek, MO
58 The Park Avenue Bank, New York, NY
59 First Commerce Community Bank, Douglasville, GA
60 Centennial Bank, Ogden, UT
61 Warren Bank, Warren, MI
62 Peoples First Community Bank, Panama City, FL
63 Corus Bank, Chicago, IL
64 Butler Bank, Lowell, MA

Friday, May 22, 2009

SF Bay Area April Home Prices Flat but Down Over 40% From April 2008

Today the SJ Mercury News reported April home sales for the San Francisco Bay Area are leveling off but down over 40% year-over-year.

Median prices are down 41.3% overall over April 2008 but they have been flat for the past four months.

Excerpts:
  • Multiple offers for under-$500,000 listings are common, and many of those properties sell for more than their asking prices.
  • The price trend for Santa Clara County condos and townhouses was similar to that for houses. The median price of condos sold last month was $255,000, up from $230,000 in March, but down 45 percent from a year earlier.

  • DataQuick reported that one reason median prices are flattening is that post-foreclosure properties — which are usually cheaper — make up a smaller proportion of home sales.

April home sales

Data below is for resale houses, unless noted.

County or areaNumber
sold
Change from
April 2008
Median priceChange from
April 2008
Alameda1,10841.9%$303,820-39.2%
Contra Costa1,38649.4%$220,500-42.7%
Marin130-21.2%$743,500-20.5%
Napa821.2%$300,500-38.0%
San Francisco197-24.2%$650,000-23.5%
San Mateo366-19.4%$550,000-22.0%
Santa Clara1,17126.7%$435,000-37.8%
Santa Cruz1387.0%$415,000-33.6%
Solano63577.4%$189,500-40.6%
Sonoma43524.3%$300,000-28.6%
Bay Area5,51028.1%$307,434-42.0%
Santa Clara condos3181.3%$255,000-45.4%
Bay Area condos1,0841.4%$223,642-51.4%
Santa Clara all1,60611.5%$405,000-34.1%
Bay Area all7,13913.1%$304,000-41.3%

  • Santa Cruz County is not included in the Bay Area totals.

  • Data based on completed sales of previously owned single-family houses or condos as recorded by counties in April 2009.

  • The Bay Area and Santa Clara County figures are for new and resale houses and condos, combined.

Source: MDA DataQuick & SJ Mercury News

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Westsound Bank Closes, Corus Teetering

On May 8th, Westsound Bank of Bremerton, WA was closed by the Washington Department of Financial Institutions. The nine branches were reopened on May 11th as new branches of Kitsap Bank of Port Orchard, WA. Customer deposits were approximately $304.5 million including $9.4 million in brokered deposits. The cost to the FDIC is estimated at $108 million, or 35 cents on the dollar.

Westsound Bank, the 33rd bank to close this year, was number 4 on my list of Banks Most Likely to Close in 2009. The top 8 on the list have now all shut their doors. This list, which has less than 1% of all FDIC insured banks has captured 45% of the closings this year.

One bank I am adding to the list now is Corus Bank of Chicago, IL. The bank reported a first quarter loss of $285 million. That's $5.31 per share and the stock currently trades at 58 cents. In early April the company's auditor expressed doubts in the banks ability to continue as a "going concern" and in late April the CEO resigned. Their loan portfolio has blown up. More than half of their loans are non-performing. Foreclosed properties were up to $499 million by the end of March. The bank is under special oversight and has until June 18th to raise more capital.

Here's my current list of the 50 63 Banks Most Likely to Close in 2009.

1 Magnet Bank, Salt Lake City, UT
2 Citizens Community Bank, Ridgewood, NJ
3 FirstBank Financial Services, McDonough, GA
4 Westsound Bank, Bremerton, WA
5 Suburban Federal Savings Bank, Crofton, MD
6 America West Bank, Layton, UT
7 Silver Falls Bank, Silverton, OR
8 Ocala National Bank, Ocala, FL
9 Sun Security Bank, Ellington, MO
10 Eastern Savings Bank, FSB, Hunt Valley, MD
11 Alliance Bank, Culver City, CA
12 FirstCity Bank, Stockbridge, GA
13 Chestatee State Bank, Dawsonville, GA
14 First Security National Bank, Norcross, GA
15 Ocean Bank, Miami, FL
16 Family Bank and Trust Co., Palos Hills, IL
17 Southern Community Bank, Fayetteville, GA
18 BankCherokee, Saint Paul, MN
19 First Tuskegee Bank, Tuskegee, AL
20 Federal Trust Bank, Sanford, FL
21 Pinnacle Bank, Beaverton, OR
22 Lake Country Community Bank, Morristown, MN
23 Mesa Bank, Mesa, AZ
24 Bank of Wyoming, Thermopolis, WY
25 1st American State Bank of Minnesota, Hancock, MN
26 First State Bank of Altus, Altus, OK
27 EvaBank, Eva, AL
28 Strategic Capital Bank, Champaign, IL
29 Ebank, Atlanta, GA
30 Polk County Bank, Johnston, IA
31 Parkway Bank, Rogers, AR
32 Security Bank of Gwinnett County, Suwanee, GA
33 State Bank of Park Rapids, Park Rapids, MN
34 Herrin Security Bank, Herrin, IL
35 Omni National Bank, Atlanta, GA
36 Northpointe Bank, Grand Rapids, MI
37 Towne Bank of Arizona, Mesa, AZ
38 Timberland Bank, El Dorado, AR
39 Blue Ridge Savings Bank, Inc., Asheville, NC
40 First Piedmont Bank, Winder, GA
41 Select Bank, Grand Rapids, MI
42 Oxford Bank, Oxford, MI
43 Security Bank of North Metro, Woodstock, GA
44 MetroPacific Bank, Irvine, CA
45 Earthstar Bank, Southampton, PA
46 Neighborhood Community Bank, Newnan, GA
47 The Home Savings and Loan Company, Youngstown, OH
48 Heritage Community Bank, Glenwood, IL
49 Vineyard Bank, NA, Rancho Cucamonga, CA
50 Community Bank of Lemont, Lemont, IL
51 Mainstreet Bank, Forest Lake, MN
52 Mutual Bank, Harvey, IL
53 Freedom Bank of Georgia, Commerce, GA
54 Newton County Loan & Savings FSB, Goodland, IN
55 Riverside Bank, Cape Coral, FL
56 BankUnited, Coral Gables, FL
57 American Sterling Bank, Sugar Creek, MO
58 The Park Avenue Bank, New York, NY
59 First Commerce Community Bank, Douglasville, GA
60 Centennial Bank, Ogden, UT
61 Warren Bank, Warren, MI
62 Peoples First Community Bank, Panama City, FL
63 Corus Bank, Chicago, IL

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Current Libor Rates

This table shows LIBOR rates are down significantly from a year ago.

Updated 5/6/2009 This week Month ago Year ago
1 Month LIBOR Rate 0.40 0.45 2.51
3 Month LIBOR Rate 0.99 1.12 2.68
6 Month LIBOR Rate 1.54 1.66 2.83
1 Year LIBOR Rate 1.78 1.95 2.99

See Libor Rates at a Glance for current rates and graphs.

Definition: LIBOR is the London Interbank Offered Rate. It is a daily reference rate based on the interest rates banks in the London wholesale money market (or interbank market) offer to lend unsecured funds to each other. LIBOR is usually slightly higher than the London Interbank Bid Rate (LIBID). LIBID is the rate the same banks are prepared to accept deposits.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

SF Bay Area Homes under $100K

Low priced homes are available in the San Francisco Bay Area. You don't have to go to Detroit to find a home priced between $50,000 and $100,000. There is a direct line from Bart to downtown San Francisco (see bart map below)

According to ZipRealty, there are 57 homes in Antioch, Bay Point and Pittsburg that are under $100,000.

Below is a random sample of 10 of the properties

1) $52,000, 56 INLET DRIVE, Bay Point, 94565
Beds: 2 | Baths: 1 | Lot Size: 5,000 Sq. Ft.
Year Built: 1952 | Listing Date: 02/10/09
2) $79,900, 4/2 SFR in Antioch, CA: last sold for $128K in 2008

3) $58,900; 3 LANCASTER CIR #111, Bay Point, CA 94565;
Beds: 2 | Sq. Ft.: 884 | Lot Size: N/A (Condo)
Baths: 2 |Built: 1989 | $/Sq.Ft.: $67 List Date: 05/04/09
On Market: 6 days | Foreclosure
4) $82,000, 3/2 SFR in Pittsburg, CA: last sold for $261K in 2008

5) $99,000, 2/1 SFR in Bay Point, CA: last sold for $180K in 2006

6) $69,900, 3/1 SFR in Bay Point, CA: last sold for $127K in 2006

7) $99,900, 3/2 Townhouse in Bay Point, CA: last sold for $368K in 2008

8) $84,900, 3/2 SFR in Antioch, CA: last sold for $123K in 2009

9) $64,000, 2/1 SFR in Pittsburg, CA: last sold for $89K in 1996

10) $54,900, 2/1 SFR in Pittsburg, CA: last sold for $67K in 2008

San Francisco Bay Area BART Map

Click map for larger image

Monday, May 4, 2009

Sell Vancouver Real Estate

I had the opportunity to spend a few days in Vancouver, BC at the end of April. While the single family market did not seem to be overbuilt, the multi-family market appears to be. Noticeably absent from the market were sellers. When everyone is trying to buy, that is the time to sell.

Vancouver is host to the Winter Olympics and everyone seems to think that they can make a killing renting out apartments, condos and even whole homes during the games. An asking price of $200 to $250 Canadian dollars per person per night seems to be fairly typical. Visitors staying longer may get down to $1000 per week (per person). All the entrepreneurs in town are trying to get their property into top shape.

The important thing to realize is that these expectations are already built into the market. The housing bubble in Vancouver hasn't burst yet. But it will. Canadians should not think that they will escape the collapse that has affected such diverse cities as London, Miami, Hong Kong, Shanghai and Los Angeles. Anyone with investment property in Vancouver should sell now. The time will never be better.

And don't roll your money into more real estate. Spend it, enjoy it, give it to the poor. If you don't know what to do with it, you could always give some to me. :) Many who don't sell this year will find it impossible to sell next year and may find themselves losing everything to foreclosure. Learn a lesson from the contrarians, sell when everyone else is buying, buy when there is panic in the streets.

Saturday, May 2, 2009

11 Bank Closures in 5 Weeks Cost $3 Billion

The FDIC has closed 11 banks in the past 5 weeks. In addition, the National Credit Union Administration closed one Florida Credit Union. The Eastern Financial Florida Credit Union, with 30 offices, was closed on April 24th. Space Coast Credit Union took over operations of the $1.6 billion in assets.

On April 10th, Cape Fear Bank of Wilmington, NC was closed. The eight branches were closed less than 2 months after the bank was hit with a cease and desist order from the FDIC. First Federal Savings and Loan of Charleston, SC will take over approximately $403 million in deposits. The cost to the FDIC is estimated at $131 million, or 33 cents on the dollar.

On April 10th, the FDIC also closed down New Frontier Bank of Greeley, CO. The bank had received a cease and desist order approximately 4 months prior to the closure. Depositors at the three locations in Greeley, Windsor and Longmont had approximately $1.5 billion in the bank and were given 30 days to transfer it to other banks. The estimated cost to the FDIC is $670 million or 45 cents on the dollar.

On Friday, April 17th, the five branches of American Sterling Bank of Sugar Creek, MO were closed. The three Kansas City area branches reopened Saturday as Metcalf Bank. The other two branches in Arizona and California reopened Monday, April 20th. American Sterling had deposits of $171.9 million and the closure is expected to cost the FDIC $42 million, or 24 cents per dollar deposited. American Sterling had recently been added as number 57 on my list of banks most likely to close in 2009.

On the same day, Great Basin Bank of Elko, NV was closed. The five branches were all acquired by Nevada State Bank which will manage the $221.4 million in deposits. Nevada State Bank also took over Silver State Bank last fall. Nevada State Bank is a wholly owned subsidiary of Zions Bancorporation. The estimated cost to the FDIC insurance fund is $42 million or 19 cents per dollar on deposit.

A week ago, American Southern Bank of Kennesaw, Georgia was closed own and its two branches were taken over by Bank of North Georgia. American Southern had been playing with hot brokered deposits. The FDIC will pay off $48.7 million in brokered deposits and Bank of North Georgia got the other $55.6 million in local deposits. The estimated cost to the insurance fund is $41.9 million, or 40 cents per dollar on deposit.

Also last week, Heritage Bank of Farmington Hills, MI closed. Level One Bank took over the three branches. Heritage Bank had $151.7 million in deposits including an estimated $50 million in brokered deposits. The estimated cost to the FDIC insurance fund is $71.3 million, a which is 47 cents per dollar on deposit.

Causing some confusion the "First Bank of Beverly Hills" was taken over by the FDIC. The First Bank of Beverly Hills doesn't actually have a branch in Beverly Hills, but is based in Calabasas, CA. There is a First Bank in Beverly Hills, but that is a branch of St. Louis based First Banks, Inc. which is trying very hard to reassure customers that they are still open. First Bank of Beverly Hills once did have an office in Beverly Hills, but the St. Louis bank bought it.

The Calabasas based bank had deposits of approximately $1 billion at their one location which has now been shuttered. The FDIC has cut checks to the depositors at a cost to the insurance fund of $394 million, or 39 cents per dollar on deposit.

And last week, First Bank of Idaho closed its seven branches just nine days after receiving a cease and desist order from the FDIC. and turned them over to US Bank. Three of the branches were operating under the name Bank of the Tetons. The seven branches will add to the 90 offices US Bank has in Idaho and 14 offices in Wyoming. First Bank of Idaho had $374 million in deposits on December 31, 2008 which had dwindled to $338 million in deposits at the time of the closure including $112.8 million in brokered deposits. William Ruberry, a spokesman for the Office of Thrift Supervision, told the Idaho Mountain Express that his agency closed First Bank of Idaho because the bank was losing $2.7 million per day and was in danger of running out of cash by the end of the month. The closure will cost the FDIC an estimated $191.2 million or 57 cents for every dollar deposited.

Yesterday, regulators shut down three more banks.

Silverton Bank of Atlanta, GA had $3.3 billion in deposits was a wholesale bank not a retail operation. It operated six regional offices. The FDIC set up a bridge bank, called Silverton Bridge Bank, NA to allow the 1,400 client banks in 44 states to continue operations with the least amount of disruption. The closure of Silverton bank is expected to cost the insurance fund $1.3 billion or 39 cents per dollar on deposit. TIB - The Independent BankersBank of Irving, TX will manage the bridge bank.

Citizens Community Bank, with one office in Ridgewood, NJ was also closed yesterday. The bank will reopen Monday as a branch of New Jersey Community Bank. The small Citizens Community bank with $43.7 million in deposits was number 2 on my list of Banks Most Likely to close in 2009. The estimated cost to the FDIC insurance fund is $18.1 million or 41 cents per dollar deposited.

Also closed yesterday was America West Bank of Layton, Utah. America West had three offices and deposits of $284.1 million. They were number 6 on my list. Cache Valley Bank will take over all of the deposits of America West. The cost to the insurance fund is estimated at $119.4 million or 42 cents per dollar on deposit.

In all, 11 banks were closed in the past 5 weeks and the FDIC had to pony up anywhere from 19 cents to 57 cents per dollar on deposit. The total is over $3 billion over the past 5 weeks. This compares with 5 bank closings during the month of March costing 11 to 36 cents per dollar deposited. Clearly, the condition of the banks is deteriorating more quickly than the regulators can close them down.

Seven of the top 10 banks on my list have now been shut down. To reflect the deteriorating condition, I am adding three more banks to my list. The new banks are from Utah, Michigan and Florida.

Here's my current list of the 50 62 Banks Most Likely to Close in 2009.

1 Magnet Bank, Salt Lake City, UT
2 Citizens Community Bank, Ridgewood, NJ
3 FirstBank Financial Services, McDonough, GA
4 Westsound Bank, Bremerton, WA
5 Suburban Federal Savings Bank, Crofton, MD
6 America West Bank, Layton, UT
7 Silver Falls Bank, Silverton, OR
8 Ocala National Bank, Ocala, FL
9 Sun Security Bank, Ellington, MO
10 Eastern Savings Bank, FSB, Hunt Valley, MD
11 Alliance Bank, Culver City, CA
12 FirstCity Bank, Stockbridge, GA
13 Chestatee State Bank, Dawsonville, GA
14 First Security National Bank, Norcross, GA
15 Ocean Bank, Miami, FL
16 Family Bank and Trust Co., Palos Hills, IL
17 Southern Community Bank, Fayetteville, GA
18 BankCherokee, Saint Paul, MN
19 First Tuskegee Bank, Tuskegee, AL
20 Federal Trust Bank, Sanford, FL
21 Pinnacle Bank, Beaverton, OR
22 Lake Country Community Bank, Morristown, MN
23 Mesa Bank, Mesa, AZ
24 Bank of Wyoming, Thermopolis, WY
25 1st American State Bank of Minnesota, Hancock, MN
26 First State Bank of Altus, Altus, OK
27 EvaBank, Eva, AL
28 Strategic Capital Bank, Champaign, IL
29 Ebank, Atlanta, GA
30 Polk County Bank, Johnston, IA
31 Parkway Bank, Rogers, AR
32 Security Bank of Gwinnett County, Suwanee, GA
33 State Bank of Park Rapids, Park Rapids, MN
34 Herrin Security Bank, Herrin, IL
35 Omni National Bank, Atlanta, GA
36 Northpointe Bank, Grand Rapids, MI
37 Towne Bank of Arizona, Mesa, AZ
38 Timberland Bank, El Dorado, AR
39 Blue Ridge Savings Bank, Inc., Asheville, NC
40 First Piedmont Bank, Winder, GA
41 Select Bank, Grand Rapids, MI
42 Oxford Bank, Oxford, MI
43 Security Bank of North Metro, Woodstock, GA
44 MetroPacific Bank, Irvine, CA
45 Earthstar Bank, Southampton, PA
46 Neighborhood Community Bank, Newnan, GA
47 The Home Savings and Loan Company, Youngstown, OH
48 Heritage Community Bank, Glenwood, IL
49 Vineyard Bank, NA, Rancho Cucamonga, CA
50 Community Bank of Lemont, Lemont, IL
51 Mainstreet Bank, Forest Lake, MN
52 Mutual Bank, Harvey, IL
53 Freedom Bank of Georgia, Commerce, GA
54 Newton County Loan & Savings FSB, Goodland, IN
55 Riverside Bank, Cape Coral, FL
56 BankUnited, Coral Gables, FL
57 American Sterling Bank, Sugar Creek, MO
58 The Park Avenue Bank, New York, NY
59 First Commerce Community Bank, Douglasville, GA
60 Centennial Bank, Ogden, UT
61 Warren Bank, Warren, MI
62 Peoples First Community Bank, Panama City, FL